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[09/28/09 - 12:34 AM] The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season: #1 - 68% of New Shows Fail By Brian Ford Sullivan (TFC) |
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Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.
Welcome once again to "The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season," our annual feature about, well... the 10 things you need to know about the new season. The goal of this venture is to address not only common questions people have about television but to also demystify (or potentially reaffirm) stigmas out there about certain networks, time periods, genres and so forth. So with that in mind let us put on our journalistic caps and give you the cold hard truth about what's potentially ahead for some of your favorite new and returning shows...
1. Only 32% of new network shows make it to a second season.
The CW's "The Beautiful Life" will eventually have a lot of company: in the past 10 seasons, only 32% of new shows on average made it to a second season. Last season it was even worse: just 11 of the 44 new shows (or 25%) made the cut for a sophomore run. The best survival rate? 35% during the 2000-2001 and 2001-2002 seasons. In other words, for better or worse, between 29-34 of this season's 45 (and counting) newcomers will be axed by May 2010. Don't believe us? Check out the hard data:
| season | abc | cbs | fox | nbc | upn | wb | cw | total |
| 1999-2000 | 3/12 (25%) | 6/12 (50%) | 2/12 (17%) | 5/15 (33%) | 1/7 (14%) | 5/10 (50%) | | 22/68 (32%) |
| 2000-2001 | 5/12 (42%) | 4/10 (40%) | 4/12 (33%) | 5/17 (29%) | 2/8 (25%) | 3/7 (43%) | | 23/66 (35%) |
| 2001-2002 | 4/16 (25%) | 4/11 (36%) | 5/17 (29%) | 7/15 (47%) | 2/5 (40%) | 4/11 (36%) | | 26/75 (35%) |
| 2002-2003 | 7/21 (33%) | 5/12 (42%) | 4/17 (24%) | 8/17 (47%) | 2/6 (33%) | 5/13 (38%) | | 31/86 (36%) |
| 2003-2004 | 2/17 (12%) | 4/8 (50%) | 7/22 (32%) | 3/11 (27%) | 2/9 (22%) | 4/11 (36%) | | 22/78 (28%) |
| 2004-2005 | 9/21 (43%) | 3/11 (27%) | 6/17 (35%) | 6/20 (30%) | 2/8 (25%) | 2/7 (29%) | | 28/84 (33%) |
| 2005-2006 | 2/17 (12%) | 6/12 (50%) | 4/11 (36%) | 3/16 (19%) | 1/5 (20%) | 1/8 (13%) | | 17/69 (25%) |
| 2006-2007 | 7/27 (26%) | 4/10 (40%) | 3/14 (21%) | 6/17 (35%) | | | 2/4 (50%) | 22/72 (31%) |
| 2007-2008 | 9/21 (43%) | 3/11 (27%) | 3/11 (27%) | 4/15 (27%) | | | 2/8 (25%) | 21/66 (32%) |
| 2008-2009 | 6/17 (35%) | 2/8 (25%) | 5/10 (50%) | 3/17 (18%) | | | 1/8 (13%) | 17/60 (28%) |
| total | 54/181 (30%) | 41/105 (39%) | 43/143 (30%) | 50/160 (31%) | 12/48 (25%) | 24/67 (36%) | 5/20 (25%) | 229/724 (32%) |
* the above table has been revised to reflect the fates of 2009's summer series
From this we can also glean a few other pieces of info - CBS (39%) and The WB (36%) had the best survival rates while FOX (30%), UPN (25%) and The CW (25%) had the worst. But considering that both UPN and the WB don't exist anymore, that doesn't necessarily translate into longevity as a whole.
So brace yourself, chances are the majority of the new shows you've added to your viewing schedule won't be back this time next year.
TOMORROW: Which day of the week is the toughest to launch a new show?
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[09/17/26 - 10:20 AM] Edie Falco to Star in FOX's New Series "Katie Greaves" (wt) Falco stars as a whip-smart, fiercely committed attorney who stepped away from the New Hampshire Public Defender's office following a devastating personal tragedy.
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[09/17/26 - 10:01 AM] Netflix's "Unaccustomed Earth" First Look & Date Announcement Inspired by the internationally beloved Jhumpa Lahiri's short story collection of the same name, "Unaccustomed Earth" premieres December 17, only on Netflix.
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[09/17/26 - 09:01 AM] Disney and "Like Nastya," Globally Renowned Kids' Creator, Strike Content and Development Deal The deal includes development of an original animated preschool series for Disney Jr. and Disney+, along with new live-action content for kids, tweens, teens and families.
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[09/17/26 - 09:00 AM] Additional Performers Revealed for "2026 MTV Video Music Awards (VMAs)" Airing Live Sept. 27 on CBS GENER8ION, Gunna, LISA, RAYE, Shaboozey, SIENNA SPIRO and Yung Lean will join show opener Madonna for performances during this year's event.
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[09/17/26 - 09:00 AM] Production Revs Up on AMC's New NASCAR Drama, "Thunder Road" Centered on family dynamics, fierce rivalries and the untold stories behind one of America's most iconic sports, "Thunder Road" follows the multigenerational saga of the fictional Whitlock family, whose legacy in stock car racing is as deep as the family's ties to the Southern hill country roots that shaped them.
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[09/17/26 - 08:16 AM] Video: Date Announcement, Trailer & Key Art Debut - "The Kardashians" Season Eight Season eight premieres October 8 on Hulu and Hulu on Disney+ for bundle subscribers in the U.S. and Disney+ internationally.
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[09/17/26 - 08:01 AM] Video: HBO Releases Official Trailer for the Original Drama Series "War," Debuting October 1 Created by George Kay, and starring Dominic West and Sienna Miller, the series is co-produced by New Pictures and Observatory Pictures with new episodes of the eight-episode season debuting weekly on Thursdays.
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[09/17/26 - 08:01 AM] Prime Video Casts Siobhan McGroarty, Sophia Reid-Gantzert, West Mulholland, Gigi Zumbado and Curtis Hamilton in "Rose Hill" Elsie Silver's bestselling romance saga will premiere on Prime Video, produced by Temple Hill.
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[09/17/26 - 08:00 AM] Bill Murray and Friends Hit the Road for a Genre-Bending Golf Adventure in "A Course Called Ireland" Premiering October 25 on Paramount+ In the six-part documentary series, Bill Murray and author Tom Coyne play their way across some of Ireland's most legendary golf courses.
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[09/17/26 - 07:31 AM] Luke Bryan Marks New Album Debut with an Exclusive "Live from Roku City" Concert The country superstar's "Live from Roku City" performances will launch September 19 on Roku, the day after the release of Bryan's ninth studio album, "Signs."
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[09/17/26 - 07:16 AM] Make Your Hallmark Movie Checklist and Check It Twice Because Hallmark Channel's "Countdown to Christmas" Gifts Viewers a Holiday Filled with Everything Nice! Highlights include 34 original movie premieres and the return of "Mistletoe Murders," now it its third season.
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[09/17/26 - 07:01 AM] Video: "Tyson" - Official Trailer - Netflix The raw four-part documentary peels back the curtain on Mike Tyson's explosive life, from a brutal Brooklyn childhood and a meteoric rise to heavyweight glory to the addiction, jail time, public breakdowns, and infamous ear bite that almost ended it all.
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[09/17/26 - 07:01 AM] Apple TV's BAFTA Award-Nominated Docuseries "Knife Edge: Chasing Michelin Stars" Debuts September 25 Across season two, "Knife Edge: Chasing Michelin Stars" follows 16 restaurants at pivotal moments in their journeys.
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[09/17/26 - 06:01 AM] Video: "Lanterns" - Midseason Trailer - HBO Max The blackest night is yet to come.
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[09/17/26 - 06:01 AM] Video: "Steps" - Official Teaser Trailer - Netflix A fresh twist on the classic Cinderella story - this time, told from the perspective of Lilith, one of the so-called "evil" stepsisters.
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