or


[10/08/09 - 11:47 PM]
The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season: #9 - Most Shows Lose 25% of Their Debut Audience
By Brian Ford Sullivan (TFC)

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome once again to "The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season," our annual feature about, well... the 10 things you need to know about the new season. The goal of this venture is to address not only common questions people have about television but to also demystify (or potentially reaffirm) stigmas out there about certain networks, time periods, genres and so forth. So with that in mind let us put on our journalistic caps and give you the cold hard truth about what's potentially ahead for some of your favorite new and returning shows...

9. Most shows lose 25% of their premiere audience by week four.

It shouldn't be too much of a surprise to learn that, for the most part, a new show's audience will fade from week to week. After all, television is weekly commitment and not everyone who watches a show's premiere will be in it for the long haul. But how large is that exodus? It turns out after the first week, 11% of viewers on average don't come back for round two. By the third week, nearly 22% of those initial premiere viewers are gone. Ultimately by a show's fourth installment, 25% of that initial audience will have tuned out. Take a look at how each new show last season fared with each successive week (the number in parenthesis denotes the rank of that week's respective change):

series (network)week 1week 2week 3week 4
mentalist, the (cbs)15.6-0.64% (7)-4.49% (6)-1.92% (6)
lie to me (fox)12.4-1.61% (9)4.84% (2)-10.48% (10)
eleventh hour (cbs)11.44.39% (4)3.51% (3)-1.75% (5)
life on mars (abc)11.3-27.43% (39)-30.09% (31)-28.32% (24)
surviving suburbia (abc)11.2-13.39% (20)-11.61% (9)-19.64% (13)
worst week (cbs)10.9-17.43% (25)-19.27% (18)-10.09% (9)
castle (abc)10.81.85% (5)-15.74% (15)-15.74% (12)
superstars of dance (nbc)10.6-8.49% (13)-32.08% (35)-38.68% (32)
harper's island (cbs)10.2-23.53% (35)-31.37% (33)-54.90% (38)
southland (nbc)9.9-3.03% (11)-18.18% (17)-32.32% (28)
fringe (fox)9.146.15% (2)3.30% (4)8.79% (3)
homeland security usa (abc)7.8-23.08% (34)-28.21% (29)-28.21% (23)
howie do it (nbc)7.8-21.79% (32)-28.21% (28)-32.05% (27)
true beauty (abc)7.6-14.47% (21)-23.68% (23)-9.21% (7)
kath & kim (nbc)7.5-18.67% (28)-33.33% (37)-28.00% (22)
secret millionaire (abc)7.4-1.35% (8)-27.03% (26)-9.46% (8)
crusoe (nbc)7.4-17.57% (26)-44.59% (40)-43.24% (36)
my own worst enemy (nbc)7.3-21.92% (33)-27.40% (27)-41.10% (35)
america's toughest jobs (nbc)7.3-2.74% (10)-10.96% (8)-44.38% (37)
cupid (abc)7.2-20.83% (30)-15.28% (14)-22.22% (15)
hole in the wall (fox)7.2-44.44% (42)-25.00% (24)-34.72% (29)
parks & recreation (nbc)6.9-13.04% (19)-23.19% (21)-26.09% (18)
gary unmarried (cbs)6.81.47% (6)8.82% (1)10.29% (2)
ex list, the (cbs)6.8-17.65% (27)-7.35% (7)-22.06% (14)
unusuals, the (abc)6.8-11.76% (18)-14.71% (13)-30.88% (25)
in the motherhood (abc)6.7-25.37% (37)-32.84% (36)-31.34% (26)
opportunity knocks (abc)6.6-9.09% (14)-21.21% (19)
kings (nbc)6.1-24.59% (36)-26.23% (25)-40.98% (34)
momma's boys (nbc)6.0-16.67% (23)-16.67% (16)-11.67% (11)
better off ted (abc)5.5-16.36% (22)-14.55% (12)-27.27% (20)
sit down, shut up (fox)5.2-19.23% (29)-59.62% (42)-71.15% (40)
dollhouse (fox)4.8-10.42% (16)-12.50% (10)-25.00% (16)
90210 (cw)4.7-31.91% (40)-29.79% (30)-38.30% (31)
do not disturb (fox)4.7-17.02% (24)-23.40% (22)
chopping block (nbc)3.8-10.53% (17)-31.58% (34)-39.47% (33)
game show in my head (cbs)3.488.24% (1)2.94% (5)11.76% (1)
privileged (cw)2.6-7.69% (12)-30.77% (32)-26.92% (19)
13: fear is real (cw)2.4-41.67% (41)-48.33% (41)-62.50% (39)
stylista (cw)2.3-21.74% (31)-21.74% (20)-26.09% (17)
valentine (cw)1.1-9.09% (15)-36.36% (38)-27.27% (21)
easy money (cw)1.1-27.27% (38)-36.36% (39)-36.36% (30)
in harm's way (cw)0.714.29% (3)-14.29% (11)0.00% (4)
average-10.88%-21.54%-25.47%

Some other interesting notes: only two of the 19 shows that lost 28% (or more) of their premiere audience got renewed for second seasons: "90210" and "Southland." Conversely, "Gary Unmarried," "Fringe" and "The Mentalist" either built or stayed on par with their debut viewership, not surprisingly earning second seasons in the process. That facet however didn't help "Game Show In My Head," "In Harm's Way" and "Eleventh Hour," all of which were canceled last season. So why were they canceled then? Stay tuned.

TOMORROW: The final tools you'll need to survive the new season.





  [october 2009]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
    


· SHOWATCH
(series past and present)
· DEVWATCH
(series in development)
· MOVIEWATCH
(tv movies and mini-series)





[10/02/26 - 02:49 PM]
Yankees Sweep of Red Sox on NBC & Peacock Is Most-Watched First Two Games of MLB Wild Card or Division Series Since 2004
The audience for Wednesday's night's Game 2 peaked at 9.2 million viewers on NBC and Peacock from 9:30-9:45 p.m. ET.

[10/02/26 - 11:08 AM]
Video: "Thou Shalt Not Steal" - Official Trailer - A Network Exclusive
Robyn (Sherry-Lee Watson) breaks out of juvenile detention and starts an odyssey across the harsh Australian outback to a reunion with her estranged father.

[10/02/26 - 11:01 AM]
Natalia Dyer, Jack Reynor and John Magaro Join the Cast of "The Trial of Louise Woodward"
Making their case.

[10/02/26 - 11:00 AM]
Video: Summer May Be Over, But the Beach Is Just Heating Up - Watch the All-New "Baywatch" Teaser Promos
"Baywatch" premieres this January on FOX and next day Hulu.

[10/02/26 - 10:24 AM]
Video: "Wingman" - Official Trailer - ALLBLK
Sophie and Tyler spend their lives making sure everyone else around them finds love. Little did they know that finding love for each other was going to be harder than they thought.

[10/02/26 - 10:00 AM]
TNT Sports to Be Exclusive Home of 2026 American League Division Series & American League Championship Series
This Saturday, October 3, seven-time All-Star José Ramírez and Steven Kwan will lead the Cleveland Guardians against Colson Montgomery, Miguel Vargas and the Chicago White Sox in a division rival showdown.

[10/02/26 - 09:15 AM]
"Fast and Furious" TV Series Greenlit at Peacock
Mike Daniels and Wolfe Coleman are behind the project, with Vin Diesel also among the executive producers.

[10/02/26 - 09:03 AM]
A Night of Mystery! New Series "History's Mystery Files" & A New Season of "The Curse of Oak Island" Premieres Nov. 10
Hosted by actor and comedian Jorge Garcia, each episode of "History's Mystery Files" follows the clues, the evidence, and the questions that refuse to go away.

[10/02/26 - 09:01 AM]
"The Watcher" Season Two to Begin Production, with Naomi Watts & Bobby Cannavale Returning
Margo Martindale and Isabel Gravitt will also reprise their roles in the hit Netflix series from Ryan Murphy and Ian Brennan.

[10/02/26 - 08:01 AM]
Video: "The Forsytes" Season 2 Preview
Secrets, ambition, and forbidden passions collide as "The Forsytes" returns for an explosive Season 2, only on "Masterpiece" on PBS in 2027.

[10/02/26 - 07:31 AM]
Netflix Has Officially Renewed "A Different World" for Its Sophomore Season
"A Different World" debuted at #4 in the Global Top 10 English TV list, earning 4.2 million views and hit the Top 10 in 15 countries.

[10/02/26 - 07:01 AM]
Video: New Animated Sports-Fantasy Series "Messi and the Giants," from Executive Producer Lionel Messi, Debuts First Look at San Diego Comic-Con Malaga, Coming to Disney+ and Disney Channel Summer 2027
Argentinian actor Milo Burgess-Webb will voice the role of Leo in the series.

[10/02/26 - 06:13 AM]
No Time Like FOXtober: FOX Sports' Star-Studded MLB Postseason Coverage Highlighted by Baseball's Biggest Names
FOX Sports begins its Postseason coverage Saturday, October 3 at 4:00 PM ET on FOX, FOX Deportes and FOX One as the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Atlanta Braves.

[10/02/26 - 04:01 AM]
Netflix Unveils Its New Competitive Reality Show, "Plex: Ultima Partida"
In the competitive strategy reality show, a group of renowned players arrive on a remote island at Plex's invitation, where they will compete for victory and a substantial cash prize.

[10/02/26 - 12:01 AM]
Video: "A Couple of Lies" - Official Trailer - Netflix
A seemingly idyllic home swap between Sicily and Stockholm turns toxic as two wealthy couples go to extremes to protect themselves - and their secrets.