 |
 |
[10/08/09 - 11:47 PM] The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season: #9 - Most Shows Lose 25% of Their Debut Audience By Brian Ford Sullivan (TFC) |
|
|
Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.
Welcome once again to "The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season," our annual feature about, well... the 10 things you need to know about the new season. The goal of this venture is to address not only common questions people have about television but to also demystify (or potentially reaffirm) stigmas out there about certain networks, time periods, genres and so forth. So with that in mind let us put on our journalistic caps and give you the cold hard truth about what's potentially ahead for some of your favorite new and returning shows...
9. Most shows lose 25% of their premiere audience by week four.
It shouldn't be too much of a surprise to learn that, for the most part, a new show's audience will fade from week to week. After all, television is weekly commitment and not everyone who watches a show's premiere will be in it for the long haul. But how large is that exodus? It turns out after the first week, 11% of viewers on average don't come back for round two. By the third week, nearly 22% of those initial premiere viewers are gone. Ultimately by a show's fourth installment, 25% of that initial audience will have tuned out. Take a look at how each new show last season fared with each successive week (the number in parenthesis denotes the rank of that week's respective change):
| series (network) | week 1 | week 2 | week 3 | week 4 |
| mentalist, the (cbs) | 15.6 | -0.64% (7) | -4.49% (6) | -1.92% (6) |
| lie to me (fox) | 12.4 | -1.61% (9) | 4.84% (2) | -10.48% (10) |
| eleventh hour (cbs) | 11.4 | 4.39% (4) | 3.51% (3) | -1.75% (5) |
| life on mars (abc) | 11.3 | -27.43% (39) | -30.09% (31) | -28.32% (24) |
| surviving suburbia (abc) | 11.2 | -13.39% (20) | -11.61% (9) | -19.64% (13) |
| worst week (cbs) | 10.9 | -17.43% (25) | -19.27% (18) | -10.09% (9) |
| castle (abc) | 10.8 | 1.85% (5) | -15.74% (15) | -15.74% (12) |
| superstars of dance (nbc) | 10.6 | -8.49% (13) | -32.08% (35) | -38.68% (32) |
| harper's island (cbs) | 10.2 | -23.53% (35) | -31.37% (33) | -54.90% (38) |
| southland (nbc) | 9.9 | -3.03% (11) | -18.18% (17) | -32.32% (28) |
| fringe (fox) | 9.1 | 46.15% (2) | 3.30% (4) | 8.79% (3) |
| homeland security usa (abc) | 7.8 | -23.08% (34) | -28.21% (29) | -28.21% (23) |
| howie do it (nbc) | 7.8 | -21.79% (32) | -28.21% (28) | -32.05% (27) |
| true beauty (abc) | 7.6 | -14.47% (21) | -23.68% (23) | -9.21% (7) |
| kath & kim (nbc) | 7.5 | -18.67% (28) | -33.33% (37) | -28.00% (22) |
| secret millionaire (abc) | 7.4 | -1.35% (8) | -27.03% (26) | -9.46% (8) |
| crusoe (nbc) | 7.4 | -17.57% (26) | -44.59% (40) | -43.24% (36) |
| my own worst enemy (nbc) | 7.3 | -21.92% (33) | -27.40% (27) | -41.10% (35) |
| america's toughest jobs (nbc) | 7.3 | -2.74% (10) | -10.96% (8) | -44.38% (37) |
| cupid (abc) | 7.2 | -20.83% (30) | -15.28% (14) | -22.22% (15) |
| hole in the wall (fox) | 7.2 | -44.44% (42) | -25.00% (24) | -34.72% (29) |
| parks & recreation (nbc) | 6.9 | -13.04% (19) | -23.19% (21) | -26.09% (18) |
| gary unmarried (cbs) | 6.8 | 1.47% (6) | 8.82% (1) | 10.29% (2) |
| ex list, the (cbs) | 6.8 | -17.65% (27) | -7.35% (7) | -22.06% (14) |
| unusuals, the (abc) | 6.8 | -11.76% (18) | -14.71% (13) | -30.88% (25) |
| in the motherhood (abc) | 6.7 | -25.37% (37) | -32.84% (36) | -31.34% (26) |
| opportunity knocks (abc) | 6.6 | -9.09% (14) | -21.21% (19) | |
| kings (nbc) | 6.1 | -24.59% (36) | -26.23% (25) | -40.98% (34) |
| momma's boys (nbc) | 6.0 | -16.67% (23) | -16.67% (16) | -11.67% (11) |
| better off ted (abc) | 5.5 | -16.36% (22) | -14.55% (12) | -27.27% (20) |
| sit down, shut up (fox) | 5.2 | -19.23% (29) | -59.62% (42) | -71.15% (40) |
| dollhouse (fox) | 4.8 | -10.42% (16) | -12.50% (10) | -25.00% (16) |
| 90210 (cw) | 4.7 | -31.91% (40) | -29.79% (30) | -38.30% (31) |
| do not disturb (fox) | 4.7 | -17.02% (24) | -23.40% (22) | |
| chopping block (nbc) | 3.8 | -10.53% (17) | -31.58% (34) | -39.47% (33) |
| game show in my head (cbs) | 3.4 | 88.24% (1) | 2.94% (5) | 11.76% (1) |
| privileged (cw) | 2.6 | -7.69% (12) | -30.77% (32) | -26.92% (19) |
| 13: fear is real (cw) | 2.4 | -41.67% (41) | -48.33% (41) | -62.50% (39) |
| stylista (cw) | 2.3 | -21.74% (31) | -21.74% (20) | -26.09% (17) |
| valentine (cw) | 1.1 | -9.09% (15) | -36.36% (38) | -27.27% (21) |
| easy money (cw) | 1.1 | -27.27% (38) | -36.36% (39) | -36.36% (30) |
| in harm's way (cw) | 0.7 | 14.29% (3) | -14.29% (11) | 0.00% (4) |
| average | | -10.88% | -21.54% | -25.47% |
Some other interesting notes: only two of the 19 shows that lost 28% (or more) of their premiere audience got renewed for second seasons: "90210" and "Southland." Conversely, "Gary Unmarried," "Fringe" and "The Mentalist" either built or stayed on par with their debut viewership, not surprisingly earning second seasons in the process. That facet however didn't help "Game Show In My Head," "In Harm's Way" and "Eleventh Hour," all of which were canceled last season. So why were they canceled then? Stay tuned.
TOMORROW: The final tools you'll need to survive the new season.
|
|
|
 [october 2009]  |
S |
M |
T |
W |
T |
F |
S |
| | | | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
 |
 |
|
[05/20/26 - 07:36 AM] After Record-Setting 2025 Season, "Sunday Night Football" Finishes Fall-Spring TV Season as Primetime's No. 1 Show for Unprecedented 15th Consecutive Year The series averaged 23.5 million viewers in 2025, marking the show's best-ever viewership - up nearly 1 million viewers from the prior record for the series set a decade ago (22.6 million in 2015 season) and an increase of 9% over the '24 season (21.6 million).
|
[05/20/26 - 07:23 AM] Apple TV Announces Season Two Renewal for "Knife Edge: Chasing Michelin Stars" The eight-part second season follows the fates of elite chefs at some of the world's most unique and celebrated restaurants to determine if they will win, maintain or lose that precious Star.
|
[05/20/26 - 06:04 AM] FOX Sports Presents All-Star Studio Team Anchoring FIFA World Cup 2026 From Thursday, June 11 through Sunday, July 19, FOX Sports will be America's official English-language home for FIFA World Cup 2026 presenting all 104 tournament matches live across FOX (70) and FS1 (34) with every match streaming in 4K live and on-demand on FOX One.
|
[05/20/26 - 06:00 AM] BTS to Make First Awards Show Appearance in Four Years at "The 52nd American Music Awards," Monday, May 25 at 8:00 PM, ET, 5:00 PM, PT on CBS They have a chance to add to their trophy collection this year, with three nominations: Artist of the Year, Song of the Summer and Best Male K-Pop Artist.
|
[05/20/26 - 05:31 AM] "One Hundred Years of Solitude" Concludes This August, With Part Two Premiering on the 5th and the Grand Finale on the 26th Spanning the 50 years yet to be told, the second part dives deeper into the new generations of the Buendía family and the town's transformation, where progress ultimately gives way to decay - fulfilling the curse that seals its fate.
|
[05/20/26 - 05:01 AM] Video: "Little Brother" - Official Trailer - Netflix A tightly wound realtor's picture-perfect life gets an extreme makeover when his lovably chaotic "little brother" suddenly reappears.
|
[05/20/26 - 04:01 AM] Video: "Maternal Instinct" - Official Trailer - Netflix Police pull over a woman who claims she just gave birth. But the baby - and the blood - aren't hers. Twisted lies unravel in this true-crime documentary.
|
[05/19/26 - 10:01 PM] Beloved NHK Dramas to Stream on Netflix Worldwide Starting June 22 Netflix has long partnered with major Japanese broadcasters to bring Japanese drama to audiences in Japan and globally.
|
[05/19/26 - 07:00 PM] "Survivor's" 16-Year Collaboration with Stand Up to Cancer Crosses the $2 Million Mark for Cancer Research In honor of its landmark 50th season, Toyota will also make a $50,000 donation to SU2C during the live finale.
|
[05/19/26 - 05:01 PM] Video: "Teach You a Lesson" - Official Trailer - Netflix When respect collapses in schools, unconventional inspectors arrive to set things right - with sharp, no-nonsense lessons you won't find in textbooks.
|
[05/19/26 - 02:52 PM] Subway Series Delivers Second Most-Watched FOX Saturday Baseball Telecast of the Season 2,500,000 viewers tuned-in to the two-game slate highlighted by the Mets' 6-3 victory over the Yankees in most of the country.
|
[05/19/26 - 02:01 PM] Netflix Viewership Peaks with Nearly 17 Million Global Viewers for MVP MMA's Rousey vs. Carano, Averaging 12.4 Million Viewers Across the Triple Main Event In the US, the triple-main card averaged 9.3 million viewers, peaking at 11.6 million viewers during Rousey vs. Carano.
|
[05/19/26 - 12:57 PM] Meet the Best of Delphi Academy Prime Video's series set in the "Creed" universe will star Benji Santiago, Juan Castrano, Demián Bichir, André Holland, Andre Royo, Sofia Black-D'Elia, Victoria Vourkoutiotis, and Wood Harris.
|
[05/19/26 - 12:31 PM] Bravo's "Summer House" First-Ever Three-Part Reunion Begins Tuesday, May 26 at 8 P.M. ET/PT Uncensored and extended versions of all three parts will be available to stream next day on Peacock.
|
[05/19/26 - 12:01 PM] Video: Paramount+ Releases Official Trailer for "Devotion: Obedience or Betrayal" All three episodes will be available to stream at launch on Tuesday, June 2.
|
|
|
|