or


[09/09/10 - 12:01 AM]
The Futon's Ratings Survival Guide: "Nikita" (The Cw)
By The Futon Critic Staff (TFC)

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome to our Ratings Survival Guide, a handy new feature which takes each new fall series on the broadcast networks and tells you the numbers it will need to survive for a second season. In general, a show's success isn't so much where it lands on the weekly ratings chart but rather how it performs in two key categories:

1. How much of its lead-in audience it retains. If a show averages 10 million viewers that's a good thing. But if the show that airs before it is averaging 30 million viewers, that's not a good thing. Why? Because 20 of those 30 million viewers decided to turn off that particular channel when the next show came on.

2. How it performs year-to-year in its time period. A new show is usually in its time period because the network thinks it can do better than it did in that slot last year. In other words, do worse than the show that was canceled after three weeks last fall then you too probably are not long for this world.

As you'll see, together these measurements paint a clear picture on how a particular show is doing. So without further ado, let's begin.

NIKITA (The CW)
(Thursdays at 9:00/8:00c)

With the success of "The Vampire Diaries" last season, The CW is undoubtedly looking for a little more from the Thursday, 9:00/8:00c hour this fall. It's up to "Nikita" then to hopefully replicate the numbers of last year's time period holder "Supernatural." On average, the veteran drama held onto 71.18% of "Vampire's" audience, a solid but not stellar showing. Said numbers however marked a decline from the 2008-09 season, when "Supernatural" held 84.24% of "Smallville's" audience. "Nikita" then has a decent range to play with: 70% or so will keep it going, 75-80% would be considered respectable growth from last season.

A caveat here though: while ABC, CBS, FOX and NBC's target demographic is adults 18-49, The CW's is actually women 18-34. Since that data isn't readily available, we're left with adults 18-49 as the closet approximation. With that in mind, here's how The CW has fared on Thursday nights the past two seasons (viewers are in millions, adults 18-49 is the percentage of said viewers in the demographic; all are based on fast national data, using only first-run episodes):

thursdays in 2008-2010timeviewers
(retention)
adults 18-49
(retention)
The Vampire Diaries: Season 18:00 PM3.67
(N/A)
1.70
(N/A)
Smallville: Season 88:00 PM3.89
(N/A)
1.65
(N/A)
Supernatural: Season 49:00 PM3.19
(82.01%)
1.39
(84.24%)
Supernatural: Season 59:00 PM2.67
(72.75%)
1.21
(71.18%)

COMING WEDNESDAY: NBC's "Outlaw."





  [september 2010]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
   


· FUTON'S RATINGS SURVIVAL GUIDES (TFC)
· NIKITA (CW)





most recent ratings | view all posts
[08/01/14 - 01:49 PM]
DIY Network Achieved Most-Watched July Primetime Ever Among P25-54 Viewers in July
DIY Network spins the numbers for the month of July.

[08/01/14 - 01:15 PM]
HGTV Scores Best July Ever
HGTV spins the numbers for the month of July.

[08/01/14 - 08:48 AM]
"Last Comic Standing" Matches a Six-Week High in 18-49 Rating
NBC spins the numbers for Thursday, July 31.

[08/01/14 - 08:32 AM]
Thursday's Broadcast Ratings: CBS Continues Win Streak in Both Viewers, Demos
The Eye was the top draw among total viewers and adults 18-49 for the fifth consecutive week.

[08/01/14 - 08:30 AM]
ABC's "The Quest" Debut Ties a Summer Time-Slot High and "NY Med" Wins at 10pm with a Best-Since-Premiere Number
ABC spins the numbers for Thursday, July 31.

[07/31/14 - 11:51 AM]
"Sharknado 2: The Second One" Devours the World - Record-Setting 3.9 Million Total Viewers and 1.6 Million Adults 18-49 for Syfy Original Movie
Syfy spins the numbers for Wednesday, July 30.

[07/31/14 - 10:56 AM]
"Tonight Show" Tops "Kimmel" and "Late Show" Combined for the Late-Night Ratings Week of July 21-25 in 18-49, Hitting a Five-Week High
NBC spins the late-night numbers for the week of July 21-25.

[07/31/14 - 08:48 AM]
"Taxi Brooklyn" Sets Series Records in 18-49 and Total Viewers in Its Sixth Week on the Schedule
NBC spins the numbers for Wednesday, July 30.

[07/31/14 - 08:32 AM]
Wednesday's Broadcast Ratings: NBC Tops Viewers, Splits Demos with CBS
The former's "America's Got Talent" and the latter's "Big Brother 16" share the gold among adults 18-49 last night.

[07/30/14 - 08:51 AM]
NBC Wins Tuesday Night in 18-49 and Total Viewers Among the Big 4
NBC spins the numbers for Tuesday, July 29.

[07/30/14 - 08:24 AM]
Tuesday's Broadcast Ratings: "America's Got Talent" Keeps NBC on Top
The Peacock doubles second place ABC among adults 18-49.

[07/30/14 - 08:16 AM]
ABC's Tuesday Unscripted Series Grow - "Extreme Weight Loss" Ties a 2-Month High
ABC spins the numbers for Tuesday, July 29.

[07/30/14 - 07:58 AM]
NBCSN Is TV's Fastest Growing Sports Network Since Debut of Premier League on August 17, 2013
NBCSN spins the numbers for the past 50 weeks to date.

[07/29/14 - 10:25 AM]
American Heroes Channel Celebrates Best July Ever in Prime and Total Day Delivery Among P2+ and HH
American Heroes Channel spins the numbers for the month to date.

[07/29/14 - 08:54 AM]
"Running Wild with Bear Grylls" Is the #2 New Reality Show Premiere This Summer on the Big 4
NBC spins the numbers for Monday, July 28.