[09/09/10 - 12:01 AM]
The Futon's Ratings Survival Guide: "Nikita" (The Cw)
By The Futon Critic Staff (TFC)

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome to our Ratings Survival Guide, a handy new feature which takes each new fall series on the broadcast networks and tells you the numbers it will need to survive for a second season. In general, a show's success isn't so much where it lands on the weekly ratings chart but rather how it performs in two key categories:

1. How much of its lead-in audience it retains. If a show averages 10 million viewers that's a good thing. But if the show that airs before it is averaging 30 million viewers, that's not a good thing. Why? Because 20 of those 30 million viewers decided to turn off that particular channel when the next show came on.

2. How it performs year-to-year in its time period. A new show is usually in its time period because the network thinks it can do better than it did in that slot last year. In other words, do worse than the show that was canceled after three weeks last fall then you too probably are not long for this world.

As you'll see, together these measurements paint a clear picture on how a particular show is doing. So without further ado, let's begin.

(Thursdays at 9:00/8:00c)

With the success of "The Vampire Diaries" last season, The CW is undoubtedly looking for a little more from the Thursday, 9:00/8:00c hour this fall. It's up to "Nikita" then to hopefully replicate the numbers of last year's time period holder "Supernatural." On average, the veteran drama held onto 71.18% of "Vampire's" audience, a solid but not stellar showing. Said numbers however marked a decline from the 2008-09 season, when "Supernatural" held 84.24% of "Smallville's" audience. "Nikita" then has a decent range to play with: 70% or so will keep it going, 75-80% would be considered respectable growth from last season.

A caveat here though: while ABC, CBS, FOX and NBC's target demographic is adults 18-49, The CW's is actually women 18-34. Since that data isn't readily available, we're left with adults 18-49 as the closet approximation. With that in mind, here's how The CW has fared on Thursday nights the past two seasons (viewers are in millions, adults 18-49 is the percentage of said viewers in the demographic; all are based on fast national data, using only first-run episodes):

thursdays in 2008-2010timeviewers
adults 18-49
The Vampire Diaries: Season 18:00 PM3.67
Smallville: Season 88:00 PM3.89
Supernatural: Season 49:00 PM3.19
Supernatural: Season 59:00 PM2.67


  [september 2010]  


most recent ratings | view all posts
[10/03/15 - 09:18 AM]
"Dateline NBC" Grows Week to Week by 10% in Both 18-49 and Total Viewers
NBC spins the numbers for Friday, October 2.

[10/03/15 - 09:03 AM]
"Gotham" Week 2 Rises 63% in Nielsen Live + 3 Day, Outrating Season Premiere
FOX further spins the numbers for Monday, September 28.

[10/03/15 - 08:47 AM]
"Blindspot" Generates NBC's Biggest Live + 3 Day 18-49 Lift in Nearly a Year
NBC further spins the numbers for Monday, September 28.

[10/03/15 - 08:21 AM]
ABC Wins Its 2nd Straight Friday in Adults 18-49, Outdelivering Runner-Up CBS by 17%
ABC spins the numbers for Friday, October 2.

[10/02/15 - 01:09 PM]
VH1's Primetime Ratings for Third Quarter Surge Ahead 34% Over Prior Quarter Among Adults 18-49
VH1 spins the numbers for the third quarter of 2015.

[10/02/15 - 12:50 PM]
Investigation Discovery Tops All of Ad-Supported Cable for Delivery of W25-54 in September
Investigation Discovery spins the numbers for the month of September.

[10/02/15 - 11:11 AM]
ABC Prime Posts the Biggest L+3 Lifts with 6 of the Top 10 Playback Gainers
ABC further spins the numbers for the week of September 21-27.

[10/02/15 - 11:00 AM]
More People Watch Portions of CBS News' Major News Programs During Premiere Week Than Any Other Broadcast Network's News Offerings
CBS News spins the numbers for the week of September 21-27.

[10/02/15 - 10:51 AM]
CBS Premiere Week Multi-Platform Snapshot
CBS further spins the numbers for the week of September 21-27.

[10/02/15 - 10:44 AM]
"The Big Bang Theory" Moves Ahead of "Sunday Night Football" as Premiere Week's Number One Program with L+3 Viewing
CBS further spins the numbers for the week of September 21-27.

[10/02/15 - 08:36 AM]
"The Blacklist" Equals Its High Since February
NBC spins the numbers for Thursday, October 1.

[10/02/15 - 08:32 AM]
Thursday's Broadcast Ratings: NFL Continues Its Reign for CBS
The Eye's football franchise is up double digits week-to-week and year-to-year.

[10/02/15 - 08:31 AM]
ABC's TGIT Drama Line-Up Delivers Thursday's Top 3 Entertainment Telecasts
ABC spins the numbers for Thursday, October 1.

[10/02/15 - 07:56 AM]
Live + 3 Day Ratings: ABC's "Quantico" Debut Captures 16 Million Viewers with Early Playback, Streaming and Tuesday's Encore
ABC further spins the numbers for Sunday, September 27.

[10/02/15 - 07:45 AM]
Week 3 of "Thursday Night Football" on CBS and NFL Network Scores with Overnight Ratings Increase of 16% Over Last Year
CBS spins the numbers for Thursday, October 1.