or


[09/26/11 - 12:02 AM]
The Futon's Ratings Survival Guide: "Terra Nova" (FOX)
By The Futon Critic Staff (TFC)

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome to The Futon's Ratings Survival Guide, our annual feature which takes each new fall series on the broadcast networks and tells you the numbers it will need to survive for a second season. In general, a show's success isn't so much where it lands on the weekly ratings chart but rather how it performs in two key categories:

1. How much of its lead-in audience it retains. If a show averages 10 million viewers that's a good thing. But if the show that airs before it is averaging 30 million viewers, that's not a good thing. Why? Because 20 of those 30 million viewers decided to turn off that particular channel when the next show came on.

2. How it performs year-to-year in its time period. A new show is usually in its time period because the network thinks it can do better than it did in that slot last year. In other words, do worse than the show that was canceled after three weeks last fall then you too probably are not long for this world.

As you'll see, together these measurements paint a clear picture on how a particular show is doing. So without further ado, let's begin.

TERRA NOVA (FOX)
(Mondays at 8:00/7:00c)

The two-and-out failure of "Lone Star" gives an easy guide to what kind of numbers won't be tolerated by FOX this fall while the solid retention by "24" likewise will ballpark what's possible behind "House" in the Monday, 9:00/8:00c slot. Between those tentpoles are the middling numbers for "Lie to Me" and "The Chicago Code" - both of which were shuttered - so presumably the expectation is "Terra Nova" can and will do better in their place.

Here's how FOX has fared on Monday nights the past two seasons:*

mondays in 2009-2011timeviewers
(retention)
adults 18-49
(retention)
House: Season 68:00 PM12.30
(N/A)
4.69
(N/A)
House: Season 78:00 PM9.86
(N/A)
3.57
(N/A)
24: Season 89:00 PM9.10
(94.59%)
2.86
(82.66%)
Lie to Me: Season 29:00 PM7.40
(64.24%)
2.74
(61.71%)
Lie to Me: Season 39:00 PM5.91
(69.04%)
1.96
(64.69%)
The Chicago Code9:00 PM6.96
(71.90%)
1.95
(56.69%)
Lie to Me: Season 2**8:00 PM5.84
(N/A)
1.83
(N/A)
Lie to Me: Season 2**9:00 PM5.01
(136.51%)
1.65
(137.50%)
Lone Star9:00 PM3.93
(38.16%)
1.30
(32.91%)
The Good Guys**9:00 PM4.00
(68.49%)
1.18
(64.48%)

* Viewers are in millions, adults 18-49 is the percentage of said viewers in the demographic; all are based on fast national data, using only first-run episodes in its regular time period.

** denotes summer series added for additional perspective





  [september 2011]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
    


· FUTON'S RATINGS SURVIVAL GUIDES (TFC)
· TERRA NOVA (FOX)











most recent ratings | view all posts
[09/30/14 - 08:52 AM]
"The Voice" Maintains 100% of Its Premiere-Week Rating and Retains 98% in Total Viewers
NBC spins the numbers for Monday, September 29.

[09/30/14 - 08:44 AM]
"Live with Kelly and Michael" Scores Multi-Month Highs and Beats "Ellen" in All Key Measures
Disney-ABC Domestic Television spins the numbers for the week of September 15-19.

[09/30/14 - 08:35 AM]
ABC's "Castle" Posts Its Top-Rated Premiere in 3 Years in Adults 18-49
ABC spins the numbers for Monday, September 29.

[09/30/14 - 08:28 AM]
Monday's Broadcast Ratings: "The Voice" Powers NBC to Victory in Adults 18-49
The Peacock's reality franchise replicates its premiere numbers from last week.

[09/30/14 - 07:28 AM]
MLB on ESPN Audience Increases for Second Straight Year
ESPN spins the numbers for its MLB coverage to date this season.

[09/30/14 - 07:26 AM]
ABC's Sunday Sees Big Adjustments in the National Ratings
ABC further spins the numbers for Sunday, September 28.

[09/29/14 - 01:53 PM]
"Ray Donovan" Ends Season Two with Highest Rated Episode and Total Night in Series History
Showtime spins the numbers for Sunday, September 28.

[09/29/14 - 01:53 PM]
"Chicago P.D." Sets a New Series Record of 11.1 Million Viewers in Live+3
NBC further spins the numbers for Wednesday, September 24.

[09/29/14 - 01:38 PM]
CBS to Win Premiere Week for the Sixth Consecutive Year
CBS spins the numbers for the week of September 22-28.

[09/29/14 - 10:34 AM]
Live+3: ABC's Wednesday Line-Up Sees Big Playback Gains
ABC further spins the numbers for Wednesday, September 24.

[09/29/14 - 10:22 AM]
Live+3s: "Red Band" Holds 100% of Premiere Rating After 3 Days of Delayed Viewing
FOX further spins the numbers for Wednesday, September 24.

[09/29/14 - 09:39 AM]
"The Good Wife" Grows by More Than Two Million Viewers Over Its Year-Ago Season Premiere
CBS spins the numbers for Sunday, September 28.

[09/29/14 - 08:46 AM]
Sunday's Broadcast Ratings: NBC, "Sunday Night Football" Hold Off Premieres on FOX, ABC
FOX's comedy lineup returns up big thanks to crossover event between "Family Guy" and "The Simpsons."

[09/29/14 - 08:37 AM]
ABC's Season Premiere Sunday Is Up with "Once Upon a Time" Opening at Nearly 2 Year-Highs
ABC spins the numbers for Sunday, September 28.

[09/29/14 - 08:19 AM]
NBC Is Currently #1 for the Night in Every Key Measure - Adults, Men and Women 18-34, 18-49 and 25-54, Plus Total Viewers
NBC spins the numbers for Sunday, September 28.