or


[10/03/12 - 10:22 PM]
The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season, Part 8: New Shows on Average Lose 14% of Their Audience by Episode Two
By Brian Ford Sullivan (TFC)

1) Only 32% of broadcast network shows make it to a second season.
2) Shows that premiere in September have the best chance of survival.
3) Scripted and unscripted shows fail at the same rate.
4) Friday night is indeed the "death slot."
5) 10 o'clock is just as successful as any other time period.
6) 5% of shows that are announced don't even air.
7) 4% of broadcast series have changed networks.
8) New shows on average lose 14% of their audience by episode two.
9) Cable dramas are almost twice as likely to return as broadcast ones.
10) History is on the side of the majority of this fall's new shows.

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome once again to "The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season," our recurring feature about, well... the 10 things you need to know about the new season. The goal of this venture is to address not only common questions people have about television but to also demystify (or potentially reaffirm) stigmas out there about certain networks, time periods, genres and so forth. It's been a few years so we'll revisit some of our previous research as well as dig into some new areas we haven't touched on before.

So with that in mind let us put on our journalistic caps and give you the cold, hard truth about what's potentially ahead for some of your favorite new and returning shows...

8. New shows on average lose 14% of their audience by episode two.

Believe it or not, losing viewership is a common practice for new shows. Looking back at the 179 shows that have premiered on the broadcast networks in the past three years (9/8/09-8/13/12), on average 14.38% of their debut audiences go away by episode two*. By episode three: 19.99%. By episode four: 24.65%. In other words, a quarter of the viewers who tuned into a show's premiere likely won't be there when the fourth episode rolls out.

When you think about it though, those statistics shouldn't be much of a surprise. If - as we've been saying for the past week and counting - only 32% of new shows make it to a second season, it makes sense that most shows will hemorrhage their audience on their way to cancellation.

What is surprising is that even in success, very few shows will ever surpass their debut audiences. Of the aforementioned 179 shows, just 29% ultimately went on to surpass their opening numbers. Or on the flip side, 71% of new shows won't ever do better than their pilots. That includes comedies like "2 Broke Girls," "New Girl" and "Community." Dramas however have the longest odds: 76 dramas have premiered in the past three years, 17% of which never grew from their respective premieres. Among them: "The Vampire Diaries," "Parenthood" and "Blue Bloods."

The lesson here: if your favorite new show is losing viewers each week, that could actually prove to be normal.

PREVIOUSLY: 4% of broadcast series have changed networks.

TOMORROW: Do cable shows have better odds of survival?

* based on P2+ Live+SD Fast National Data





  [october 2012]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
 


· SHOWATCH
(series past and present)
· DEVWATCH
(series in development)
· MOVIEWATCH
(tv movies and mini-series)





[10/17/17 - 01:54 PM]
2017 ALCS on FOX & FS1 Averaging 5,815,000 Viewers, Off to Best Start Since 2013
FOX Sports spins the numbers for its ALCS coverage to date.

[10/17/17 - 01:35 PM]
Oxygen Media's Two-Night Special "Dahmer on Dahmer: A Serial Killer Speaks" Premieres Saturday, November 11 at 7PM ET/PT
"'Dahmer on Dahmer: A Serial Killer Speaks' catapults viewers into Jeffrey Dahmer's psyche, providing a unique look at the life of a serial killer that shook the nation," said Rod Aissa.

[10/17/17 - 01:01 PM]
Season Three of "UnREAL" Returns February 26
In the new season, Caitlin FitzGerald takes the reins as Everlasting's female "suitress," Serena.

[10/17/17 - 01:00 PM]
First Table Read of ABC's "Roseanne" Revival
The cast of the iconic comedy series "Roseanne" gathers for their first table read for the revival's premiere episode entitled "Twenty Years to Life."

[10/17/17 - 12:31 PM]
"Nightline" Wins in Total Viewers for Third Week in a Row This Season
ABC spins the late-night numbers for the week of October 9-13.

[10/17/17 - 12:24 PM]
"Engaging Father Christmas" Premieres November 12, on Hallmark Movies & Mysteries
Based on the series of Father Christmas books by Robin Jones Gunn, the film is a sequel to last year's highly rated "Finding Father Christmas."

[10/17/17 - 12:22 PM]
Freeform Throws the Ultimate Night in with "Movie Night with Karlie Kloss" to Premiere December 28
Taking the ultimate movie night to the next level, the supermodel, tech guru and fashion icon will invite some of her closest friends for an evening of movies, games, baking and fun, all while watching some of the most beloved "movie night" films.

[10/17/17 - 11:53 AM]
"The Gifted" Marks Television's Highest-Rated Fall Debut in Monday 9PM Time Period in Live + 7 Day Ratings in Three Years
FOX further spins the numbers for the week of October 2-8.

[10/17/17 - 11:18 AM]
ABC Claims 8 of the Week's Top 20 Entertainment Shows in Adults 18-49
ABC spins the numbers for the week of October 9-15.

[10/17/17 - 11:06 AM]
"The Late Show" Wins Late Night for the Third Straight Week to Start the Season
CBS spins the late-night numbers for the week of October 9-13.

[10/17/17 - 11:05 AM]
TBS Announces Programming at New York Comedy Festival
Located at the new hotel property PUBLIC, the TBS Comedy HUB will serve as the festival's headquarters, where fans and NYCF attendees can gain free access to exclusive TBS-curated programming, including all-star talent and fan-forward experiences.

[10/17/17 - 10:49 AM]
CBS Wins in Viewers for the Third Consecutive Week
CBS spins the numbers for the week of October 9-15.

[10/17/17 - 10:17 AM]
"DreamWorks Trolls Holiday" Spreads Musical Cheer as Animated Special Arrives Friday, Nov. 24 on NBC
"DreamWorks Trolls Holiday" marks the return of Anna Kendrick as the voice of Poppy, Justin Timberlake as Branch and Zooey Deschanel as Bridget.

[10/17/17 - 09:38 AM]
With "SNF" #1 Overall & "This Is Us," "Voice" & "Will & Grace" Ranking as 4 of the Top 10 Entertainment Shows, NBC Wins Week of Oct. 9-15
NBC spins the numbers for the week of October 9-15.

[10/17/17 - 09:31 AM]
Freeform Gets Hitched to "Disney's Fairy Tale Weddings," Network Greenlights Seven New Episodes of Unscripted Series to Premiere Spring 2018
On the heels of the breakout special that aired in May 2017, "Disney's Fairy Tale Weddings" garnered nearly three million views across linear and digital, making it Freeform's highest-rated unscripted TV special to date.