or


[09/26/12 - 04:33 PM]
The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season, Part 3: Scripted and Unscripted Shows Fail at the Same Rate
By Brian Ford Sullivan (TFC)

1) Only 32% of broadcast network shows make it to a second season.
2) Shows that premiere in September have the best chance of survival.
3) Scripted and unscripted shows fail at the same rate.
4) Friday night is indeed the "death slot."
5) 10 o'clock is just as successful as any other time period.
6) 5% of shows that are announced don't even air.
7) 4% of broadcast series have changed networks.
8) New shows on average lose 14% of their audience by episode two.
9) Cable dramas are almost twice as likely to return as broadcast ones.
10) History is on the side of the majority of this fall's new shows.

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome once again to "The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season," our recurring feature about, well... the 10 things you need to know about the new season. The goal of this venture is to address not only common questions people have about television but to also demystify (or potentially reaffirm) stigmas out there about certain networks, time periods, genres and so forth. It's been a few years so we'll revisit some of our previous research as well as dig into some new areas we haven't touched on before.

So with that in mind let us put on our journalistic caps and give you the cold, hard truth about what's potentially ahead for some of your favorite new and returning shows...

3. Scripted and unscripted shows fail at the same rate.

If you've been following this feature for the past few days the above shouldn't come as much of a surprise. Of the 892 shows that have premiered in the past 13 seasons (that's 1999-2000 through 2011-2012), the 608 scripted ones made it to second seasons just as often as the 284 unscripted ones: 32% of the time.


genreabccbsfoxnbcupnwbcwtotal
all scripted46/146 (32%)42/103 (41%)33/112 (29%)37/136 (27%)11/36 (31%)18/53 (34%)1/6 (17%)196/608 (32%)
all unscripted25/85 (29%)9/27 (33%)21/60 (35%)29/71 (41%)1/12 (8%)6/14 (43%)0/9 (0%)92/284 (32%)
total71/231 (31%)51/130 (39%)54/172 (31%)66/207 (32%)12/48 (25%)24/67 (36%)10/37 (27%)288/892 (32%)


However, when you filter those scripted and unscripted shows into distinct genres, a slightly different picture is painted:


genreabccbsfoxnbcupnwbcwtotal
comedy (animated)0/2 (0%)0/1 (0%)3/6 (50%)0/3 (0%)0/2 (0%)1/3 (33%)0/0 (0%)4/17 (24%)
comedy (improv-sketch)2/4 (50%)0/0 (0%)0/7 (0%)2/8 (25%)0/0 (0%)2/5 (40%)0/0 (0%)6/24 (25%)
comedy (multi-camera)10/34 (29%)12/32 (38%)6/20 (30%)5/29 (17%)7/15 (47%)5/14 (36%)1/1 (100%)46/145 (32%)
comedy (single-camera)11/23 (48%)0/4 (0%)9/22 (41%)8/22 (36%)1/3 (33%)0/7 (0%)0/2 (0%)29/83 (35%)
drama23/83 (28%)30/66 (45%)15/57 (26%)22/74 (30%)3/16 (19%)10/24 (42%)8/19 (42%)111/339 (33%)
reality (competition)16/46 (35%)7/20 (35%)13/40 (33%)23/58 (40%)1/7 (14%)3/10 (30%)1/6 (17%)64/187 (34%)
reality (non-competition)9/39 (23%)2/7 (29%)8/20 (40%)6/13 (46%)0/5 (0%)3/4 (75%)0/9 (0%)28/97 (29%)
total71/231 (31%)51/130 (39%)54/172 (31%)66/207 (32%)12/48 (25%)24/67 (36%)10/37 (27%)288/892 (32%)


The above tells us that animation on the broadcast networks provides the longest odds: just four series in the past 13 years made it to second seasons, none of which came from ABC, CBS or NBC. On the flip side, single-camera comedies have the best survival rate - albeit by only one percentage point over competition series and two over dramas.

As always, the more telling aspects come from the networks themselves. CBS hasn't given a second season to a single-camera comedy in the past 13 years while ABC has brought back nearly half (48%) of theirs. Conversely, CBS has renewed 45% of its freshman dramas - the best of any network - while ABC's hour-long newcomers only return 28% of the time. Also on interest: ABC and CBS's reality competition series do significantly better than their non-competition ones whereas FOX and NBC are the opposite when it comes to their unscripted offerings.

Likewise, until today's renewal of "Breaking Pointe" (series from this past summer aren't factored into the above as many of their fates are still up in the air), The CW had yet to renew any of its non-competition reality series.

All in all, while shows in general fail at the same rate there are some ebbs and flows to specific genres and on specific networks.

PREVIOUSLY: Shows that premiere in September have the best chance of survival.

TOMORROW: Do certain nights of the week fare better than others?





  [september 2012]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
      


· SHOWATCH
(series past and present)
· DEVWATCH
(series in development)
· MOVIEWATCH
(tv movies and mini-series)





[08/26/16 - 03:00 PM]
New FOX Series "Pitch" and the Los Angeles Dodgers to Host "Take Your Daughter to a Game" Day at Dodger Stadium on Sunday, September 4
After the game, fans will have the exclusive chance to watch the series premiere on the Dodgers' DiamondVision screen.

[08/26/16 - 02:11 PM]
Video: Watch the All-New Promo from the Explosive Season Three Premiere of "Empire!"
The drama returns in Season Three, as the battle continues for the Soul of Empire.

[08/26/16 - 01:59 PM]
Post-Olympic "Voice" Jumps 2.5 Million Viewers in Live + 3, Biggest Lift of the Week Across All Networks
NBC further spins the numbers for the week of August 15-21.

[08/26/16 - 11:10 AM]
Hallmark Channel's "Chesapeake Shores" Increases Viewership with Episode Two
The Hallmark Channel spins the numbers for the week of August 15-21.

[08/26/16 - 10:06 AM]
Passion Becomes a Practice for Future Veterinarians as Animal Planet Premieres "Life at Vet U"
The six-part series premieres Saturday, October 1 at 10:00/9:00c.

[08/26/16 - 10:00 AM]
E!'s "Fashion Police" Returns to Cover the 2016 MTV Video Music Awards Monday, August 29th at 8:00PM ET/PT
Co-hosts Melissa Rivers, Giuliana Rancic and Brad Goreski, along with 2016 special co-hosts NeNe Leakes and Margaret Cho, will break down the hottest and most outrageous ensembles from the awards show and after parties.

[08/26/16 - 09:19 AM]
Thursday's Broadcast Ratings: NBC Tops Demos with NFL Preseason
The Peacock continues its win streak among adults 18-49.

[08/26/16 - 09:00 AM]
Production Begins and New Casting Announced on Freeform's New Comedy Pilot "Alone Together" from the Team at The Lonely Island
Esther Povitsky, Benji Aflalo and Eben Russell serve as writers and executive producers on the pilot.

[08/26/16 - 08:19 AM]
Video: Hip Hop Rules Thursday Nights This October on WE tv
Get your first look at the new season of "Growing Up Hip Hop" plus the new series "Money Power Respect."

[08/26/16 - 06:01 AM]
Netflix Releases Key Art for "Chef's Table: France"
The four special episodes are dedicated to four of the world's most renowned French chefs and will all premiere globally on September 2.

[08/25/16 - 02:27 PM]
"Who Wants to Be a Millionaire" Premieres New Season From Las Vegas on Monday, September 12
Las Vegas has become one of the premier entertainment capitals of the world, and beginning this fall, "Millionaire" will originate from its new production home at Bally's Las Vegas.

[08/25/16 - 02:25 PM]
FOX Brings Live MLS Matches Alongside NFL Coverage For First Match Ever
The network will feature two MLS matches airing live adjacent to regional National Football League broadcasts as part of a joint MLS and NFL lineup on Sunday, September 18.

[08/25/16 - 01:04 PM]
A&E Network Premieres Two-Hour Documentary Ahead of the 20th Anniversary of JonBenet Ramsey's Brutal Murder
A&E reveals never-before-seen case details, including Burke Ramsey's 1998 interview tape detailing his first-hand account of the events at that time.

[08/25/16 - 11:50 AM]
Ann Coulter, Jewel, Ralph Macchio, Nikki Glaser Added to #LoweRoast Roster
They'll join Jimmy Carr, Pete Davidson, Peyton Manning, Rob Riggle, Jeff Ross and Roast Master David Spade.

[08/25/16 - 11:48 AM]
Emmy-Nominated NFL Network Series "Undrafted" Returns September 13
This season, "Undrafted" expands to eight, one-hour episodes airing Tuesdays at 8:00/7:00c on NFL Network.