or


[09/26/12 - 04:33 PM]
The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season, Part 3: Scripted and Unscripted Shows Fail at the Same Rate
By Brian Ford Sullivan (TFC)

1) Only 32% of broadcast network shows make it to a second season.
2) Shows that premiere in September have the best chance of survival.
3) Scripted and unscripted shows fail at the same rate.
4) Friday night is indeed the "death slot."
5) 10 o'clock is just as successful as any other time period.
6) 5% of shows that are announced don't even air.
7) 4% of broadcast series have changed networks.
8) New shows on average lose 14% of their audience by episode two.
9) Cable dramas are almost twice as likely to return as broadcast ones.
10) History is on the side of the majority of this fall's new shows.

Please note: As a courtesy, please do not reproduce these comments to newsgroups, forums or other online places. Links only please.

Welcome once again to "The 10 Things You Need to Know About the New Season," our recurring feature about, well... the 10 things you need to know about the new season. The goal of this venture is to address not only common questions people have about television but to also demystify (or potentially reaffirm) stigmas out there about certain networks, time periods, genres and so forth. It's been a few years so we'll revisit some of our previous research as well as dig into some new areas we haven't touched on before.

So with that in mind let us put on our journalistic caps and give you the cold, hard truth about what's potentially ahead for some of your favorite new and returning shows...

3. Scripted and unscripted shows fail at the same rate.

If you've been following this feature for the past few days the above shouldn't come as much of a surprise. Of the 892 shows that have premiered in the past 13 seasons (that's 1999-2000 through 2011-2012), the 608 scripted ones made it to second seasons just as often as the 284 unscripted ones: 32% of the time.


genreabccbsfoxnbcupnwbcwtotal
all scripted46/146 (32%)42/103 (41%)33/112 (29%)37/136 (27%)11/36 (31%)18/53 (34%)1/6 (17%)196/608 (32%)
all unscripted25/85 (29%)9/27 (33%)21/60 (35%)29/71 (41%)1/12 (8%)6/14 (43%)0/9 (0%)92/284 (32%)
total71/231 (31%)51/130 (39%)54/172 (31%)66/207 (32%)12/48 (25%)24/67 (36%)10/37 (27%)288/892 (32%)


However, when you filter those scripted and unscripted shows into distinct genres, a slightly different picture is painted:


genreabccbsfoxnbcupnwbcwtotal
comedy (animated)0/2 (0%)0/1 (0%)3/6 (50%)0/3 (0%)0/2 (0%)1/3 (33%)0/0 (0%)4/17 (24%)
comedy (improv-sketch)2/4 (50%)0/0 (0%)0/7 (0%)2/8 (25%)0/0 (0%)2/5 (40%)0/0 (0%)6/24 (25%)
comedy (multi-camera)10/34 (29%)12/32 (38%)6/20 (30%)5/29 (17%)7/15 (47%)5/14 (36%)1/1 (100%)46/145 (32%)
comedy (single-camera)11/23 (48%)0/4 (0%)9/22 (41%)8/22 (36%)1/3 (33%)0/7 (0%)0/2 (0%)29/83 (35%)
drama23/83 (28%)30/66 (45%)15/57 (26%)22/74 (30%)3/16 (19%)10/24 (42%)8/19 (42%)111/339 (33%)
reality (competition)16/46 (35%)7/20 (35%)13/40 (33%)23/58 (40%)1/7 (14%)3/10 (30%)1/6 (17%)64/187 (34%)
reality (non-competition)9/39 (23%)2/7 (29%)8/20 (40%)6/13 (46%)0/5 (0%)3/4 (75%)0/9 (0%)28/97 (29%)
total71/231 (31%)51/130 (39%)54/172 (31%)66/207 (32%)12/48 (25%)24/67 (36%)10/37 (27%)288/892 (32%)


The above tells us that animation on the broadcast networks provides the longest odds: just four series in the past 13 years made it to second seasons, none of which came from ABC, CBS or NBC. On the flip side, single-camera comedies have the best survival rate - albeit by only one percentage point over competition series and two over dramas.

As always, the more telling aspects come from the networks themselves. CBS hasn't given a second season to a single-camera comedy in the past 13 years while ABC has brought back nearly half (48%) of theirs. Conversely, CBS has renewed 45% of its freshman dramas - the best of any network - while ABC's hour-long newcomers only return 28% of the time. Also on interest: ABC and CBS's reality competition series do significantly better than their non-competition ones whereas FOX and NBC are the opposite when it comes to their unscripted offerings.

Likewise, until today's renewal of "Breaking Pointe" (series from this past summer aren't factored into the above as many of their fates are still up in the air), The CW had yet to renew any of its non-competition reality series.

All in all, while shows in general fail at the same rate there are some ebbs and flows to specific genres and on specific networks.

PREVIOUSLY: Shows that premiere in September have the best chance of survival.

TOMORROW: Do certain nights of the week fare better than others?





  [september 2012]  
S
M
T
W
T
F
S
      


· SHOWATCH
(series past and present)
· DEVWATCH
(series in development)
· MOVIEWATCH
(tv movies and mini-series)





[05/22/18 - 11:18 AM]
NBC Wins the Sept. to May Season in 18-49 for the 4th Time in 5 Years, Generating The Top Winning Margin for Any Net in People-Meter History
NBC further spins the numbers for the season to date.

[05/22/18 - 11:02 AM]
A&E Network Launches a Biography(R) Limited Original Series "Cultureshock"
The series premieres on Monday, June 25 with "Michael Jackson's Final Curtain Call," a profound look at Jackson's final days timed to the anniversary of the pop icon's untimely and devastating death.

[05/22/18 - 11:00 AM]
CBS Announces Summer Series Premieres
"Big Brother" and "Salvation" both get return dates while newcomer "TKO: Total Knock Out" bows on Wednesday, July 11.

[05/22/18 - 10:44 AM]
Video: WE tv Reveals a Jaw-Dropping Sneak Peek of the Highly-Anticipated Return of Season 2 of "Mama June: From Not to Hot" Premiering June 15 at 9:00PM ET/PT
Mama June is headed back to the pageant circuit on the season two return of "Mama June: From Not to Hot."

[05/22/18 - 10:38 AM]
"60 Minutes" in Top 10 Again - Makes List for 12th Straight Time
CBS further spins the numbers for the season to date.

[05/22/18 - 10:20 AM]
Investigation Discovery's Tony Harris Tackles Crime and Its Aftermath as He Returns to the "Scene of the Crime"
The immersive newsmagazine returns for a second season on Investigation Discovery beginning Sunday, June 3 at 10:00/9:00c.

[05/22/18 - 10:01 AM]
Showtime(R) to Premiere Documentary "Love Means Zero" on Legendary Tennis Coach Nick Bollettieri Saturday, June 23 at 9 PM ET/PT
From Showtime Documentary Films, the project features interviews with his former students and tennis prodigies, including Jim Courier, Kathleen Horvath, Carling Bassett and Boris Becker.

[05/22/18 - 10:00 AM]
HBO Renews "Wyatt Cenac's Problem Areas"
"We're so thrilled to have such a relevant, thought-provoking and sharply funny show on the network," said Nina Rosenstein.

[05/22/18 - 10:00 AM]
For the First Time Ever, The Judges Battle It Out on Season Nine of "MasterChef," Premiering Wednesday, May 30, on FOX
In the season premiere, the nation's best home cooks travel to Los Angeles to compete for a spot in the Top 24.

[05/22/18 - 09:55 AM]
"48 Hours" Finishes Its 30th Anniversary Year as Saturday's #1 Non-Sports Program for the 12th Consecutive Television Season
CBS further spins the numbers for the season to date.

[05/22/18 - 09:44 AM]
Paramount Network's "American Woman" and NowThis Kick-Off New Women's Empowerment Campaign with a Female-Driven Wikipedia Edit-A-Thon
To kick off the campaign, Kyle Richards and star Jennifer Bartels were joined by cast members James Tupper, Tobias Jelinek, Jonathan Chase, Diandra Lyle, and Sam Morgan Friday, May 19, at NeueHouse in Hollywood.

[05/22/18 - 09:34 AM]
Syfy Renews "Krypton" Ahead of Its May 23 First Season Finale
The show's second season is expected to return in 2019.

[05/22/18 - 08:20 AM]
Monday's Broadcast Ratings: "American Idol" Finale Helps ABC Snap NBC's Win Streak
The Peacock had taken home top honors in both total viewers and adults 18-49 for 10 consecutive weeks.

[05/22/18 - 08:03 AM]
YouTube Orders Second Season of Lionsgate Hit Dance Drama Series "Step Up: High Water"
Series regulars Naya Rivera and Faizon Love are set to return in the second season of the 10-episode, hour long series which begins production in the fall and debuts on YouTube Premium in 2019.

[05/22/18 - 08:02 AM]
Nickelodeon Renews Four Hit Series from Top-Ranked Preschool Portfolio
"PAW Patrol," "Blaze and the Monster Machines," "Rusty Rivets" and "Top Wing" are all due back.